Degradation-based residual life prediction under different environments
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Publication:484033
DOI10.1214/14-AOAS749zbMATH Open1304.62125arXiv1412.1315MaRDI QIDQ484033FDOQ484033
Authors: Rensheng Zhou, Nicoleta Serban, Nagi Gebraeel 
Publication date: 17 December 2014
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Degradation modeling has traditionally relied on historical signals to estimate the behavior of the underlying degradation process. Many models assume that these historical signals are acquired under the same environmental conditions and can be observed along the entire lifespan of a component. In this paper, we relax these assumptions and present a more general statistical framework for modeling degradation signals that may have been collected under different types of environmental conditions. In addition, we consider applications where the historical signals are not necessarily observed continuously, that is, historical signals are sparse or fragmented. We consider the case where historical degradation signals are collected under known environmental states and another case where the environmental conditions are unknown during the acquisition of these historical data. For the first case, we use a classification algorithm to identify the environmental state of the units operating in the field. In the second case, a clustering step is required for clustering the historical degradation signals. The proposed model can provide accurate predictions of the lifetime or residual life distributions of engineering components that are still operated in the field. This is demonstrated by using simulated degradation signals as well as vibration-based degradation signals acquired from a rotating machinery setup.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.1315
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Bayesian inference (62F15) Reliability and life testing (62N05) Applications of statistics in engineering and industry; control charts (62P30)
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Cited In (10)
- A numerical method for system residual life prediction based on Simpson formula
- Stochastic modelling and analysis of degradation for highly reliable products
- Degradation modeling applied to residual lifetime prediction using functional data analysis
- Semiparametric Models for Accelerated Destructive Degradation Test Data Analysis
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- A modeling method of stochastic parameters' inverse Gauss process considering measurement error under accelerated degradation test
- Degradation Modeling, Analysis, and Applications on Lifetime Prediction
- Residual Life Prediction and Optimal Maintenance Decision for a Piece of Equipment
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- Degradation-based residual life prediction under different environments
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