Anomalous time-scaling of extreme events in infinite systems and Birkhoff sums of infinite observables

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Publication:1995569



Abstract: We establish quantitative results for the statistical be-ha-vi-our of emph{infinite systems}. We consider two kinds of infinite system: i) a conservative dynamical system (f,X,mu) preserving a sigma-finite measure mu such that mu(X)=infty; ii) the case where mu is a probability measure but we consider the statistical behaviour of an observable phicolonXo[0,infty) which is non-integrable: intphi,dmu=infty. In the first part of this work we study the behaviour of Birkhoff sums of systems of the kind ii). For certain weakly chaotic systems, we show that these sums can be strongly oscillating. However, if the system has superpolynomial decay of correlations or has a Markov structure, then we show this oscillation cannot happen. In this case we prove asymptotic relations between the behaviour of phi, the local dimension of mu, and on the growth of Birkhoff sums (as time tends to infinity). We then establish several important consequences which apply to infinite systems of the kind i). This includes showing anomalous scalings in extreme event limit laws, or entrance time statistics. We apply our findings to non-uniformly hyperbolic systems preserving an infinite measure, establishing anomalous scalings in the case of logarithm laws of entrance times, dynamical Borel--Cantelli lemmas, almost sure growth rates of extremes, and dynamical run length functions.


This paper establishes quantitative results for the statistical behaviour of two kinds of infinite systems. The first few pages introduce all the necessary notation and terminology to understand the paper: non-integrable observables; known relations between Birkhoff sums of infinite observables, hitting times and Borel-Cantelli properties; growth of Birkhoff sums and extremes; the behaviour of the hitting time to small targets, and logarithm laws, and dynamical Borel-Cantelli laws for infinite measure preserving systems. The main results are stated in Section 2 by Theorem 2.4 and 2.5 (the growth of Birkhoff sums for rapidly mixing systems), Theorem 2.9 (limit laws for maxima and hitting times) and Theorem 2.11 (dynamical Borel-Cantelli Lemma results for systems preserving a \(\sigma\)-finite infinite measure). The proof of aformentioned theorems are provided in Sections 3 and 5. Then, considering several independent topics which relate to the theory, a result on the almost sure growth rates of extremes and hitting times for infinite systems (see Section 2.5) is presented. Furthermore, the application of this theory to an intermittent map case is studied in Section 2.6, which includes a study of dynamical run-length problems in Section 2.6.3. After the proofs in Section 3 and 5 of the main theorems, a final result concerning the oscillation of the Birkhoff sums is described in certain situations and the Borel-Cantelli results for general Markov extensions, such as Young towers (Section 9) is considered.



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