Use of mathematical modelling to assess respiratory syncytial virus epidemiology and interventions: a literature review

DOI10.1007/S00285-021-01706-YMaRDI QIDQ2113527zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors John C. Lang

Publication date 14 March 2022

Published in Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.12808

zbMATH Keywords

vaccinationrespiratory syncytial virusinfectious disease modeldynamic transmission modelimmunoprophylaxis

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical epidemiology (92C60) Epidemiology (92D30) Research exposition (monographs, survey articles) pertaining to biology (92-02)

Abstract: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute lower respiratory tract infection worldwide, resulting in approximately sixty thousand annual hospitalizations of <5-year-olds in the United States alone and three million annual hospitalizations globally. The development of over 40 vaccines and immunoprophylactic interventions targeting RSV has the potential to significantly reduce the disease burden from RSV infection in the near future. In the context of RSV, a highly contagious pathogen, dynamic transmission models (DTMs) are valuable tools in the evaluation and comparison of the effectiveness of different interventions. This review, the first of its kind for RSV DTMs, provides a valuable foundation for future modelling efforts and highlights important gaps in our understanding of RSV epidemics. Specifically, we have searched the literature using Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, and PubMed to identify all published manuscripts reporting the development of DTMs focused on the population transmission of RSV. We reviewed the resulting studies and summarized the structure, parameterization, and results of the models developed therein. We anticipate that future RSV DTMs, combined with cost-effectiveness evaluations, will play a significant role in shaping decision making in the development and implementation of intervention programs.

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7089319 (Why is no real title available?)
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Cited in

(4)

• Long-term effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on total disease burden in parsimonious epidemiological models
• Exploring the dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission in children
• The rate of viral transfer between upper and lower respiratory tracts determines RSV illness duration
• Randomness in a mathematical model for the transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)

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