Household epidemic models and McKean-Vlasov Poisson driven stochastic differential equations
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Publication:2135269
Abstract: This paper presents a new view of household epidemic models, where the interaction between the households is of mean field type. We thus obtain in the limit of infinitely many households a nonlinear Markov process solution of a McKean - Vlasov type Poisson driven SDE, and a propagation of chaos result. We also define a basic reproduction number R0, and show that if R0>1, then the nonlinear Markov process has a unique non trivial ergodic invariant probability measure, whereas if R0<=1, it converges to 0 as t tends to infinity.
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Cited in
(10)- Conditional propagation of chaos in a spatial stochastic epidemic model with common noise
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