Using judgment to select and adjust forecasts from statistical models

DOI10.1016/J.EJOR.2020.01.028zbMATH Open1441.62660OpenAlexW2999660138WikidataQ126304525 ScholiaQ126304525MaRDI QIDQ2178117FDOQ2178117

Authors Shari De Baets, Nigel Harvey

Publication date 7 May 2020

Published in European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10097784/

zbMATH Keywords

forecastingjudgmental adjustmentforecast support systemsjudgmental selection

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Experimental work for problems pertaining to operations research and mathematical programming (90-05)

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Cites work

• Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of stock prices in a developing stock market

Cited in

(9)

• Evaluating human behaviour in response to AI recommendations for judgemental forecasting
• Forecast adjustments during post-promotional periods
• Decline, adopt or compromise? A dual hurdle model for advice utilization
• Outlier detection in network revenue management
• Applications of the bias-variance decomposition to human forecasting
• Improving judgmental adjustment of model-based forecasts
• Defensive Forecasting: How to Use Similarity to Make Forecasts That Pass Statistical Tests
• Forecasting with jury-based probabilistic argumentation
• What causes post-decision disappointment? Estimating the contributions of systematic and selection biases

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