On conditions for rate-induced tipping in multi-dimensional dynamical systems

DOI10.1007/S10884-019-09730-9MaRDI QIDQ2297226zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Claire Kiers, Christopher K. R. T. Jones

Publication date 18 February 2020

Published in Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.02808

zbMATH Keywords

loss of stabilitytime-dependent parameterstippingtransitions

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Monotone flows as dynamical systems (37C65) Attractors and repellers of smooth dynamical systems and their topological structure (37C70) Stability theory for smooth dynamical systems (37C75) Strange attractors, chaotic dynamics of systems with hyperbolic behavior (37D45)

Abstract: The possibility of rate-induced tipping (R-tipping) away from an attracting fixed point has been thoroughly explored in 1-dimensional systems. In these systems, it is impossible to have R-tipping away from a path of quasi-stable equilibria that is forward basin stable (FBS), but R-tipping is guaranteed for paths that are non-FBS of a certain type. We will investigate whether these results carry over to multi-dimensional systems. In particular, we will show that the same conditions guaranteeing R-tipping in 1-dimension also guarantee R-tipping in higher dimensions; however, it is possible to have R-tipping away from a path that is FBS even in 2-dimensional systems. We will propose a different condition, forward inflowing stability (FIS), which we show is sufficient to prevent R-tipping in all dimensions. The condition, while natural, is difficult to verify in concrete examples. Monotone systems are a class for which FIS is implied by an easily verifiable condition. As a result, we see how the additional structure of these systems makes predicting the possibility of R-tipping straightforward in a fashion similar to 1-dimension. In particular, we will prove that the FBS and FIS conditions in monotone systems reduce to comparing the relative positions of equilibria over time. An example of a monotone system is given that demonstrates how these ideas are applied to determine exactly when R-tipping is possible.

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Cited in

(15)

• Tipping phenomena and points of no return in ecosystems: beyond classical bifurcations
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• Rate-induced tipping in discrete-time dynamical systems
• Estimating rate-induced tipping via asymptotic series and a Melnikov-like method
• Variation in environmental stochasticity dramatically affects viability and extinction time in a predator-prey system with high prey group cohesion
• Critical Transitions in d-Concave Nonautonomous Scalar Ordinary Differential Equations Appearing in Population Dynamics
• Rate-induced tipping: thresholds, edge states and connecting orbits
• Tipping in a low-dimensional model of a tropical cyclone
• Rate and bifurcation induced transitions in asymptotically slow-fast systems
• Critical transitions in piecewise uniformly continuous concave quadratic ordinary differential equations
• Critical transitions for asymptotically concave or \(d\)-concave nonautonomous differential equations with applications in ecology
• Fast anthropogenic environmental change can cause the collapse of fishery ecosystems
• Concave-convex nonautonomous scalar ordinary differential equations: from bifurcation theory to critical transitions
• Tipping mechanisms in a carbon cycle model
• Phase tipping: how cyclic ecosystems respond to contemporary climate

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