Combining cluster sampling and link-tracing sampling to estimate the size of a hidden population: asymptotic properties of the estimators

DOI10.1080/15598608.2017.1405374zbMATH Open1426.62026arXiv1506.06190OpenAlexW2770671230MaRDI QIDQ2321816FDOQ2321816

Martín H. Félix-Medina

Publication date: 23 August 2019

Published in: Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: F'elix-Medina and Thompson (2004) proposed a variant of link-tracing sampling to estimate the size of a hidden population such as drug users, sexual workers or homeless people. In their variant a sampling frame of sites where the members of the population tend to gather is constructed. The frame is not assumed to cover the whole population, but only a portion of it. A simple random sample of sites is selected; the people in the sampled sites are identified and are asked to name other members of the population which are added to the sample. Those authors proposed maximum likelihood estimators of the population size which derived from a multinomial model for the numbers of people found in the sampled sites and a model that considers that the probability that a person is named by any element in a particular sampled site (link-probability) does not depend on the named person, that is, that the probabilities are homogeneous. Later, F'elix-Medina et al. (2015) proposed unconditional and conditional maximum likelihood estimators of the population size which derived from a model that takes into account the heterogeneity of the link-probabilities. In this work we consider this sampling design and set conditions for a general model for the link-probabilities that guarantee the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators of the population size and of the estimators of the parameters of the model for the link-probabilities. In particular we showed that both the unconditional and conditional maximum likelihood estimators of the population size are consistent and have asymptotic normal distributions which are different from each other.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.06190

zbMATH Keywords

asymptotic normalitycapture-recapturemaximum likelihood estimatorsnowball samplingchain-referral samplinghard-to-detect population

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators (62F12) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Sampling theory, sample surveys (62D05)

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Cited In (1)

• Estimating hidden population size using respondent-driven sampling data

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