Estimating hidden population size using respondent-driven sampling data
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Publication:405375
DOI10.1214/14-EJS923zbMATH Open1295.62011arXiv1209.6241WikidataQ30980860 ScholiaQ30980860MaRDI QIDQ405375FDOQ405375
Authors: Corinne M. Mar, Mark S. Handcock, Krista J. Gile 
Publication date: 5 September 2014
Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is an approach to sampling design and inference in hard-to-reach human populations. Typically, a sampling frame is not available, and population members are difficult to identify or recruit from broader sampling frames. Common examples include injecting drug users, men who have sex with men, and female sex workers. Most analysis of RDS data has focused on estimating aggregate characteristics, such as disease prevalence. However, RDS is often conducted in settings where the population size is unknown and of great independent interest. This paper presents an approach to estimating the size of a target population based on data collected through RDS. The proposed approach uses a successive sampling approximation to RDS to leverage information in the ordered sequence of observed personal network sizes. The inference uses the Bayesian framework, allowing for the incorporation of prior knowledge. A flexible class of priors for the population size is proposed that aids elicitation. An extensive simulation study provides insight into the performance of the method for estimating population size under a broad range of conditions. A further study shows the approach also improves estimation of aggregate characteristics. A particular choice of the prior produces interval estimates with good frequentist properties. Finally, the method demonstrates sensible results when used to estimate the numbers of sub-populations most at risk for HIV in two cities in El Salvador.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1209.6241
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Cited In (17)
- Hidden Population Size Estimation From Respondent-Driven Sampling: A Network Approach
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- Hidden population size estimation and diagnostics using two respondent-driven samples with applications in Armenia
- Estimating hidden population size using respondent-driven sampling data
- Estimating the size of populations at high risk for HIV using respondent‐driven sampling data
- A Bayesian model for estimating population means using a link-tracing sampling design
- Modeling of networked populations when data is sampled or missing
- Estimating the burden of the opioid epidemic for adults and adolescents in Ohio counties
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