A flexible state-space model for learning nonlinear dynamical systems

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Publication:2407186

DOI10.1016/J.AUTOMATICA.2017.02.030zbMATH Open1370.93300arXiv1603.05486OpenAlexW2963779771MaRDI QIDQ2407186FDOQ2407186


Authors: Andreas Svensson, Thomas B. Schön Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 28 September 2017

Published in: Automatica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We consider a nonlinear state-space model with the state transition and observation functions expressed as basis function expansions. The coefficients in the basis function expansions are learned from data. Using a connection to Gaussian processes we also develop priors on the coefficients, for tuning the model flexibility and to prevent overfitting to data, akin to a Gaussian process state-space model. The priors can alternatively be seen as a regularization, and helps the model in generalizing the data without sacrificing the richness offered by the basis function expansion. To learn the coefficients and other unknown parameters efficiently, we tailor an algorithm using state-of-the-art sequential Monte Carlo methods, which comes with theoretical guarantees on the learning. Our approach indicates promising results when evaluated on a classical benchmark as well as real data.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1603.05486




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