The network level reproduction number for infectious diseases with both vertical and horizontal transmission

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2013.02.004zbMATH Open1279.92057arXiv1207.6422OpenAlexW2128407973WikidataQ40255788 ScholiaQ40255788MaRDI QIDQ2434424FDOQ2434424

Authors: Ling Xue, Caterina Scoglio 

Publication date: 5 February 2014

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A wide range of infectious diseases are both vertically and horizontally transmitted. Such diseases are spatially transmitted via multiple species in heterogeneous environments, typically described by complex meta-population models. The reproduction number is a critical metric predicting whether the disease can invade the meta-population system. This paper presents the reproduction number for a generic disease vertically and horizontally transmitted among multiple species in heterogeneous networks, where nodes are locations, and links reflect outgoing or incoming movement flows. The metapopulation model for vertically and horizontally transmitted diseases is gradually formulated from two species, two-node network models. We derived an explicit expression of the reproduction number, which is the spectral radius of a matrix reduced in size with respect to the original next generation matrix. The reproduction number is shown to be a function of vertical and horizontal transmission parameters, and the lower bound is the reproduction number for horizontal transmission. As an application, the reproduction number and its bounds for the Rift Valley fever zoonosis, where livestock, mosquitoes, and humans are the involved species are derived. By computing the reproduction number for different scenarios through numerical simulations, we found the reproduction number is affected by livestock movement rates only when parameters are heterogeneous across nodes. To summarize, our study contributes the reproduction number for vertically and horizontally transmitted diseases in heterogeneous networks. This explicit expression is easily adaptable to specific infectious diseases, affording insights into disease evolution.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1207.6422

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zbMATH Keywords

reproduction numberheterogeneous networksrift valley fevermultiple species

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical epidemiology (92C60) Systems biology, networks (92C42) Computational methods for problems pertaining to biology (92-08)

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Cited In (5)

• Network-level reproduction number and extinction threshold for vector-borne diseases
• Epidemic spread on patch networks with community structure
• Stability and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation of an SIS epidemic model with saturated treatment function
• How intraguild predation affects the host diversity-disease relationship in a multihost community
• Bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence rate and saturated treatment function

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