Endemic persistence or disease extinction: The effect of separation into sub-communities

DOI10.1016/j.tpb.2007.05.001zbMath1123.92031OpenAlexW2120478939WikidataQ51911847 ScholiaQ51911847MaRDI QIDQ2459064

Tom Britton, Mathias Lindholm

Publication date: 5 November 2007

Published in: Theoretical Population Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tpb.2007.05.001

zbMATH Keywords

quasi-stationary distributionSIR epidemicpopulation heterogeneityendemic diseasesexpected time to extinction

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G35)

Related Items

When Do Epidemics End? Scientific Insights from Mathematical Modelling Studies ⋮ Divide and conquer? Persistence of infectious agents in spatial metapopulations of hosts ⋮ Epidemiological implications of mobility between a large urban centre and smaller satellite cities ⋮ Influence of infection rate and migration on extinction of disease in spatial epidemics ⋮ Approximating time to extinction for endemic infection models ⋮ Extinction and Quasi-Stationarity for Discrete-Time, Endemic SIS and SIR Models ⋮ Final attack ratio in SIR epidemic models for multigroup populations ⋮ A fully coupled, mechanistic model for infectious disease dynamics in a metapopulation: movement and epidemic duration

Cites Work

• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item
• Epidemics with two levels of mixing
• Stochastic epidemic models and their statistical analysis
• Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
• A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two levels of mixing
• Stochastic epidemics: Major outbreaks and the duration of the endemic period
• Spatial heterogeneity and the persistence of infectious diseases
• A new look at the critical community size for childhood infections
• Stochastic multi-type SIR epidemics among a population partitioned into households
• A description of the long-term behaviour of absorbing continuous-time Markov chains using a centre manifold
• Quasi-stationary distributions and convergence to quasi-stationarity of birth-death processes
• On the Time to Extinction in Recurrent Epidemics
• Stochastic epidemics in dynamic populations: Quasi-stationarity and extinction