When Do Epidemics End? Scientific Insights from Mathematical Modelling Studies

DOI10.1484/J.CNT.5.130125MaRDI QIDQ5879366zbMATH OpenWikidataFDO

Authors Natalie M. Linton, Francesca A. Lovell-Read, Emma Southall, Hyo Jung Lee, Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov, Robin N. Thompson, Hiroshi Nishiura

Publication date 28 February 2023

Published in Centaurus (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

infectious diseaseepidemicsepidemiological modellingdisease eliminationend-of-outbreak declaration

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Epidemiology (92D30)

Cites work

• A Hypothesis Test for the End of a Common Source Outbreak
• A stochastic vector-borne epidemic model: quasi-stationarity and extinction
• Compartmental Models in Epidemiology
• Endemic persistence or disease extinction: The effect of separation into sub-communities
• Extinction Times for Birth-Death Processes: Exact Results, Continuum Asymptotics, and the Failure of the Fokker--Planck Approximation
• Extinction times and phase transitions for spatially structured closed epidemics.
• Generation interval contraction and epidemic data analysis
• Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals
• On the Time to Extinction in Recurrent Epidemics
• Sample Size Calculations for Surveys to Substantiate Freedom of Populations from Infectious Agents
• Sampling for disease absence -- deriving informed monitoring from epidemic traits
• Sexual transmission and the probability of an end of the Ebola virus disease epidemic
• Stochastic epidemics in dynamic populations: Quasi-stationarity and extinction
• The duration of the closed stochastic epidemic
• The effective reproduction number as a prelude to statistical estimation of time-dependent epidemic trends
• The time to extinction for a stochastic SIS-household-epidemic model

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• EpiEstim

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