A model of riots dynamics: shocks, diffusion and thresholds
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mathematical modeling of riots dynamicsnon-local diffusionnumerical investigations and simulationstraveling wave solutions
Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) PDEs in connection with game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences (35Q91) Nonlinear parabolic equations (35K55) Reaction-diffusion equations (35K57) Qualitative properties of solutions to partial differential equations (35B99)
Abstract: We introduce and analyze several variants of a system of differential equations which model the dynamics of social outbursts, such as riots. The systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable representing the intensity of rioting activity and an underlying (implicit) field of social tension. Our models include the effects of exogenous and endogenous factors as well as various propagation mechanisms. From numerical and mathematical analysis of these models we show that the assumptions made on how different locations influence one another and how the tension in the system disperses play a major role on the qualitative behavior of bursts of social unrest. Furthermore, we analyze here various properties of these systems, such as the existence of traveling wave solutions, and formulate some new open mathematical problems which arise from our work.
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Cited in
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- Global well-posedness and uniform boundedness of urban crime models: one-dimensional case
- Modeling insurgent dynamics including heterogeneity
- Traveling wave solutions in a model for social outbursts in a tension-inhibitive regime
- Mathematical model analysis on the diffusion of violence
- A numerical perspective on traveling wave solutions in a system for rioting activity
- Stationary patterns and their selection mechanism of urban crime models with heterogeneous near-repeat victimization effect
- Qualitative features of a nonlinear, nonlocal, agent-based PDE model with applications to homelessness
- Influence of money distribution on civil violence model
- Determining key parameters in riots using lexicographic directional differentiation
- Modelling the dynamics of social protests: mean-field games and inverse problems
- Exact description of SIR-bass epidemics on 1D lattices
- Modeling the propagation of riots, collective behaviors and epidemics
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