A model of riots dynamics: shocks, diffusion and thresholds

DOI10.3934/NHM.2015.10.443zbMATH Open1342.35399arXiv1502.04725OpenAlexW2963127503MaRDI QIDQ258503FDOQ258503

Jean-Pierre Nadal, Nancy Rodíguez, Henri Berestycki

Publication date: 10 March 2016

Published in: Networks and Heterogeneous Media (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We introduce and analyze several variants of a system of differential equations which model the dynamics of social outbursts, such as riots. The systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable representing the intensity of rioting activity and an underlying (implicit) field of social tension. Our models include the effects of exogenous and endogenous factors as well as various propagation mechanisms. From numerical and mathematical analysis of these models we show that the assumptions made on how different locations influence one another and how the tension in the system disperses play a major role on the qualitative behavior of bursts of social unrest. Furthermore, we analyze here various properties of these systems, such as the existence of traveling wave solutions, and formulate some new open mathematical problems which arise from our work.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.04725

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zbMATH Keywords

mathematical modeling of riots dynamicsnon-local diffusionnumerical investigations and simulationstraveling wave solutions

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) PDEs in connection with game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences (35Q91) Nonlinear parabolic equations (35K55) Reaction-diffusion equations (35K57) Qualitative properties of solutions to partial differential equations (35B99)

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Cited In (9)

• Existence and stability traveling wave solutions for a system of social outbursts
• Dynamic and structural features of Intifada violence: a Markov process approach
• Global well-posedness and uniform boundedness of urban crime models: one-dimensional case
• Modeling insurgent dynamics including heterogeneity
• Mathematical model analysis on the diffusion of violence
• A numerical perspective on traveling wave solutions in a system for rioting activity
• Stationary patterns and their selection mechanism of urban crime models with heterogeneous near-repeat victimization effect
• Qualitative features of a nonlinear, nonlocal, agent-based PDE model with applications to homelessness
• Exact description of SIR-bass epidemics on 1D lattices

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