Oscillating epidemics in a dynamic network model: stochastic and mean-field analysis
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Abstract: An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out, showing that three typical behaviours may occur; namely, oscillations can be observed besides disease-free or endemic steady states. The oscillatory behaviour in the stochastic simulations is studied using Fourier analysis, as well as through analysing the exact master equations of the stochastic model. A compact pairwise approximation for the dynamic network case is also developed and, for the case of link-type independent rewiring, the outcome of epidemics and changes in network structure are concurrently presented in a single bifurcation diagram. By going beyond simply comparing simulation results to mean-field models, our approach yields deeper insights into the observed phenomena and help better understand and map out the limitations of mean-field models.
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Cited in
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- Modelling approaches for simple dynamic networks and applications to disease transmission models
- Complex contagion leads to complex dynamics in models coupling behaviour and disease
- A non-Markovian SIR network model with fixed infectious period and preventive rewiring
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- Modeling of epidemic spreading on multilayer networks in uncertain environments
- Complex dynamics of epidemic models on adaptive networks
- Saddle-node bifurcation of limit cycles in an epidemic model with two levels of awareness
- Epidemic threshold in pairwise models for clustered networks: closures and fast correlations
- Nontrivial effects of uncertainty on epidemic spreading under limited resources
- Mapping Out Emerging Network Structures in Dynamic Network Models Coupled with Epidemics
- Complex behaviors of epidemic model with nonlinear rewiring rate
- The effect of avoiding known infected neighbors on the persistence of a recurring infection process
- Adaptive dynamical networks
- Oscillations in epidemic models with spread of awareness
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