Bounding the probability of causation in mediation analysis

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Publication:2963077

DOI10.1007/978-3-319-44093-4_8zbMATH Open1357.62036arXiv1411.2636OpenAlexW1826640592MaRDI QIDQ2963077FDOQ2963077


Authors: Rossella Murtas, Monica Musio, A. Philip Dawid Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 10 February 2017

Published in: Topics on Methodological and Applied Statistical Inference (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Given empirical evidence for the dependence of an outcome variable on an exposure variable, we can typically only provide bounds for the "probability of causation" in the case of an individual who has developed the outcome after being exposed. We show how these bounds can be adapted or improved if further information becomes available. In addition to reviewing existing work on this topic, we provide a new analysis for the case where a mediating variable can be observed. In particular we show how the probability of causation can be bounded when there is no direct effect and no confounding. Keywords: Causal inference, Mediation Analysis, Probability of Causation


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.2636




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