Bounding the probability of causation in mediation analysis

DOI10.1007/978-3-319-44093-4_8MaRDI QIDQ2963077zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Rossella Murtas, Monica Musio, A. Philip Dawid

Publication date 10 February 2017

Published in Topics on Methodological and Applied Statistical Inference (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.2636

zbMATH Keywords

confoundingmediation analysisprobability of causationmediating variable

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Parametric hypothesis testing (62F03) Sampling theory, sample surveys (62D05) Empirical decision procedures; empirical Bayes procedures (62C12)

Abstract: Given empirical evidence for the dependence of an outcome variable on an exposure variable, we can typically only provide bounds for the "probability of causation" in the case of an individual who has developed the outcome after being exposed. We show how these bounds can be adapted or improved if further information becomes available. In addition to reviewing existing work on this topic, we provide a new analysis for the case where a mediating variable can be observed. In particular we show how the probability of causation can be bounded when there is no direct effect and no confounding. Keywords: Causal inference, Mediation Analysis, Probability of Causation

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Cites work

• From statistical evidence to evidence of causality
• Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification
• Probabilities of causation: Three counterfactual interpretations and their identification

Cited in

(4)

• Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification
• Causal mediation analysis in the presence of a misclassified binary exposure
• The Probability of Causation under a Stochastic Model for Individual Risk
• Causal inference: a missing data perspective

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