A Bayesian test for the hot hand phenomenon

DOI10.1016/J.JMP.2015.12.003MaRDI QIDQ296959zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Ruud Wetzels, Darja Tutschkow, Sophie van der Sluis, Gilles Dutilh, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Conor Dolan

Publication date 24 June 2016

Published in Journal of Mathematical Psychology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmp.2015.12.003

zbMATH Keywords

Bayes factorhot handsportsstreakiness

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Applications of statistics to psychology (62P15)

Recommendations

• Uncertainty in the hot hand fallacy: detecting streaky alternatives to random Bernoulli sequences
• Surprised by the hot hand fallacy? A truth in the law of small numbers
• Bayesian Binary Segmentation Procedure for Detecting Streakiness in Sports
• Hot-hand effects in sports and a recursive method of computing probabilities for streaks
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5257691

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3320839 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3189754 (Why is no real title available?)
• Bayes Factors
• Bayesian evaluation of informative hypotheses
• Bayesian model selection of informative hypotheses for repeated measurements
• Editors' introduction to the special issue ``Bayes factors for testing hypotheses in psychological research: practical relevance and new developments
• Hidden Markov Models for Time Series
• Identifiability of parameters in latent structure models with many observed variables
• Prior sensitivity in theory testing: an apologia for the Bayes factor
• Probabilistic Functions of Finite State Markov Chains

Cited in

(12)

• Surprised by the hot hand fallacy? A truth in the law of small numbers
• Uncertainty in the hot hand fallacy: detecting streaky alternatives to random Bernoulli sequences
• A fresh look at the ``hot hand paradox
• Bayesian Binary Segmentation Procedure for Detecting Streakiness in Sports
• A combinatorial approach in predicting the outcome of tennis matches
• Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball
• MixedTrails: Bayesian hypothesis comparison on heterogeneous sequential data
• Editors' introduction to the special issue ``Bayes factors for testing hypotheses in psychological research: practical relevance and new developments
• Binary segmentation procedures using the bivariate binomial distribution for detecting streakiness in sports data
• A tutorial on bridge sampling
• The relative importance of ability, luck and motivation in team sports: a Bayesian model of performance in the English rugby premiership
• Hot-hand effects in sports and a recursive method of computing probabilities for streaks

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• HiddenMarkov
• R

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