Nonlinear identification of judgmental forecasts effects at SKU level

DOI10.1002/FOR.1184MaRDI QIDQ3088166zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Juan R. Trapero, Robert Fildes, Andrey Davydenko

Publication date 19 August 2011

Published in Journal of Forecasting (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/48964/1/Document.pdf

zbMATH Keywords

supply chainnonlinear system identificationforecast adjustment

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistical methods; economic indices and measures (91B82)

Recommendations

• Improved forecasting considering dynamic properties within the time series of customer demands
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• Demand forecasting method based on stochastic processes and its validation using real-world data
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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3882321 (Why is no real title available?)
• Identification of non-linear stochastic systems by state dependent parameter estimation

Cited in

(16)

• Validation of a demand forecasting method based on a stochastic process using real-world data
• Management of supply chain: an alternative modelling technique for forecasting
• Order-up-to policies in information exchange supply chains
• Adjusting supply chain forecasts for short-term temperature estimates: a case study in a Brewing company
• A predictive analytics approach for demand forecasting in the process industry
• Application of machine learning techniques for supply chain demand forecasting
• Inventory -- forecasting: mind the gap
• A systemic view of the ADIDA framework
• Demand forecasting using Bayesian experiment with non-homogeneous Poisson process model
• Demand forecasting method based on stochastic processes and its validation using real-world data
• Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts
• Do experts' adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts improve forecast quality?
• Demand forecasting with high dimensional data: the case of SKU retail sales forecasting with intra- and inter-category promotional information
• Do `big losses' in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts' behaviour?
• Optimal ordering policy for newsvendor models with bidirectional changes in demand using expert judgment
• Improving forecasting performance by employing the Taguchi method

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