Wreath products and proportions of periodic points

Abstract: Let

v a r p h i : {m a t h b b P}^{1} l o n g r i g h t a r r o w {m a t h b b P}^{1}

be a rational map of degree greater than one defined over a number field

k

. For each prime

m a t h f r a k p

of good reduction for

v a r p h i

, we let

v a r p h i_{m a t h f r a k p}

denote the reduction of

v a r p h i

modulo

m a t h f r a k p

. A random map heuristic suggests that for large

m a t h f r a k p

, the proportion of periodic points of

v a r p h i_{m a t h f r a k p}

in

{m a t h b b P}^{1} ({m a t h f r a k o}_{k} / m a t h f r a k p)

should be small. We show that this is indeed the case for many rational functions

v a r p h i

.

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