Spatio-temporal patterns of IED usage by the Provisional Irish Republican Army

DOI10.1017/S0956792515000686MaRDI QIDQ4594589zbMATH OpenWikidataFDO

Authors Stephen Tench, Hannah Fry, Paul Gill

Publication date 24 November 2017

Published in European Journal of Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1017/S0956792515000686

zbMATH Keywords

change pointpoint processHawkes processterrorismcounter-terrorismNorthern IrelandProvisional Irish Republican Army

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Spatial models in sociology (91D25)

Recommendations

• Spatio-temporal improvised explosive device monitoring: improving detection to minimise attacks
• Causal Inference with Spatio-Temporal Data: Estimating the Effects of Airstrikes on Insurgent Violence in Iraq
• Modeling and estimation for self-exciting spatio-temporal models of terrorist activity
• A dynamic spatial model of conflict escalation
• Multiscale structure of UXO site characterization: spatial estimation and uncertainty quantification
• A simple model of optimal clearance of improvised explosive devices
• Dynamic and structural features of Intifada violence: a Markov process approach
• Modelling insurgent attack dynamics across geographic scales and in cyberspace
• Hidden Markov models for the activity profile of terrorist groups

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6416756 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Simplex Method for Function Minimization
• A new look at the statistical model identification
• Assessing the dependency between the magnitudes of earthquakes and the magnitudes of their aftershocks
• Bayesian inference for Hawkes processes
• Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events
• Gang rivalry dynamics via coupled point process networks
• Integrability of Expected Increments of Point Processes and a Related Random Change of Scale
• Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
• Maximum likelihood estimation of Hawkes' self-exciting point processes
• Model Selection and Multimodel Inference
• Modeling and estimation of multi-source clustering in crime and security data
• Modelling security market events in continuous time: intensity based, multivariate point process models
• Nonlinear Patterns in Urban Crime: Hotspots, Bifurcations, and Suppression
• Regular point processes and their detection
• Self-exciting point process modeling of crime
• Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes
• Stability of nonlinear Hawkes processes
• Stochastic processes.
• The Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test for Goodness of Fit
• The time-rescaling theorem and its application to neural spike train data analysis

Cited in

(7)

• Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes: a review
• Spatio-temporal improvised explosive device monitoring: improving detection to minimise attacks
• Modeling and estimation for self-exciting spatio-temporal models of terrorist activity
• A systems approach to analysing sub‐state conflicts
• Modelling Burglary in Chicago using a self-exciting point process with isotropic triggering
• Self-exciting point process models for political conflict forecasting
• Estimation, diagnostics, and extensions of nonparametric Hawkes processes with kernel functions

This page was built for publication: Spatio-temporal patterns of IED usage by the Provisional Irish Republican Army

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q4594589)