Ranking soccer teams on the basis of their current strength: A comparison of maximum likelihood approaches

DOI10.1177/1471082X18817650MaRDI QIDQ5142228zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Christophe Ley, Tom van de Wiele, Hans van Eetvelde

Publication date 30 December 2020

Published in Statistical Modelling (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.09575

zbMATH Keywords

bivariate Poisson modelBradley-Terry modelindependent Poisson modelpredictive performanceweighted likelihood

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3073477 (Why is no real title available?)
• PARX model for football match predictions

Cited in

(14)

• An analytics approach to the FIFA ranking procedure and the World Cup final draw
• Quantifying incentive (in)compatibility: a case study from sports
• A new method for comparing rankings through complex networks: model and analysis of competitiveness of major European soccer leagues
• Predicting match outcomes in association football using team ratings and player ratings
• A Monte Carlo comparison of alternative methods of maximum likelihood ranking in racing sports
• Introducing Lasso-type penalisation to generalised joint regression modelling for count data
• Estimating the change in soccer's home advantage during the covid-19 pandemic using bivariate Poisson regression
• The probabilistic final standing calculator: a fair stochastic tool to handle abruptly stopped football seasons
• Competing in daily fantasy sports using generative models
• How to avoid uncompetitive games? The importance of tie-breaking rules
• Phylourny: efficiently calculating elimination tournament win probabilities via phylogenetic methods
• On head-to-head results as tie-breaker and consequent opportunities for collusion
• Ranking handball teams from statistical strength estimation
• Mitigating the risk of tanking in multi-stage tournaments

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• R
• engsoccerdata

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