A statistical theory of the strength of epidemics: an application to the Italian COVID-19 case

DOI10.1098/RSPA.2020.0394MaRDI QIDQ5161202zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors

Publication date 29 October 2021

Published in Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0394

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19statisticsmathematical epidemiologyfracture mechanicsmaterials scienceprobabilistic mechanicsWeibull statisticsmedical physics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Medical epidemiology (92C60)

Recommendations

• Analysis and forecast of COVID-19 spreading in China, Italy and France
• A data-driven epidemic model with social structure for understanding the COVID-19 infection on a heavily affected Italian province
• Size and timescale of epidemics in the SIR framework
• Evaluating the current epidemiological status of Italy: insights from a stochastic epidemic model
• An age and space structured SIR model describing the covid-19 pandemic

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1063671 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3329716 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Statistical Theory for the Fracture of Brittle Structures Subjected to Nonuniform Polyaxial Stresses
• Complete global stability for an SIR epidemic model with delay - distributed or discrete
• Deterministic epidemic models with explicit household structure
• Global stability of an SIR epidemic model with time delays
• Modelling under-reporting in epidemics
• Probabilistic Mechanics of Quasibrittle Structures
• Pulse vaccination strategy in the SIR epidemic model
• Reproductive numbers, epidemic spread and control in a community of households
• The effect of household distribution on transmission and control of highly infectious diseases
• Vaccination and the theory of games

Cited in

(1)

• Daily Covid-19 infected population densities in Italian provinces follow Taylor’s law

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