Confidence Sets for Phylogenetic Trees

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Publication:5229907

DOI10.1080/01621459.2017.1395342zbMATH Open1462.62693arXiv1607.08288OpenAlexW2962715551MaRDI QIDQ5229907FDOQ5229907


Authors: Amy Willis Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 19 August 2019

Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Inferring evolutionary histories (phylogenetic trees) has important applications in biology, criminology and public health. However, phylogenetic trees are complex mathematical objects that reside in a non-Euclidean space, which complicates their analysis. While our mathematical, algorithmic, and probabilistic understanding of phylogenies in their metric space is mature, rigorous inferential infrastructure is as yet undeveloped. In this manuscript we unify recent computational and probabilistic advances to construct tree--valued confidence sets. The procedure accounts for both centre and multiple directions of tree--valued variability. We draw on block replicates to improve testing, identifying the best supported most recent ancestor of the Zika virus, and formally testing the hypothesis that a Floridian dentist with AIDS infected two of his patients with HIV. The method illustrates connections between variability in Euclidean and tree space, opening phylogenetic tree analysis to techniques available in the multivariate Euclidean setting.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.08288




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