Stochastic Switching Games and Duopolistic Competition in Emissions Markets

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Publication:5388673

DOI10.1137/100784977zbMATH Open1252.91008arXiv1001.3455OpenAlexW2009910800MaRDI QIDQ5388673FDOQ5388673


Authors: Michael Ludkovski Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 19 April 2012

Published in: SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study optimal behavior of energy producers under a CO_2 emission abatement program. We focus on a two-player discrete-time model where each producer is sequentially optimizing her emission and production schedules. The game-theoretic aspect is captured through a reduced-form price-impact model for the CO_2 allowance price. Such duopolistic competition results in a new type of a non-zero-sum stochastic switching game on finite horizon. Existence of game Nash equilibria is established through generalization to randomized switching strategies. No uniqueness is possible and we therefore consider a variety of correlated equilibrium mechanisms. We prove existence of correlated equilibrium points in switching games and give a recursive description of equilibrium game values. A simulation-based algorithm to solve for the game values is constructed and a numerical example is presented.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1001.3455




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