Climate-dependent effectiveness of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 mitigation

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2023.109087MaRDI QIDQ6194292zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Juping Ji, Hao Wang, Lin Wang, Pouria Ramazi, Jude D. Kong, James Watmough

Publication date 14 February 2024

Published in Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2023.109087

zbMATH Keywords

machine learningtransmission ratenonpharmaceutical interventionsinverse methodenvironmental conditionsgeneralized boosting model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical epidemiology (92C60) Epidemiology (92D30) Climate science and climate modeling (86A08)

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Cites work

• A hypothesis-free bridging of disease dynamics and non-pharmaceutical policies
• Bacteria-bacteriophage cycles facilitate Cholera outbreak cycles: an indirect susceptible-infected-recovered-bacteria-phage (iSIRBP) model-based mathematical study
• Dynamics of a cholera transmission model with immunological threshold and natural phage control in reservoir
• Dynamics of indirectly transmitted infectious diseases with immunological threshold
• Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China
• Extracting the time-dependent transmission rate from infection data via solution of an inverse ODE problem
• From policy to prediction: forecasting COVID-19 dynamics under imperfect vaccination
• Greedy function approximation: A gradient boosting machine.
• Multiple transmission pathways and disease dynamics in a waterborne pathogen model
• Studying the recovery procedure for the time-dependent transmission rate(s) in epidemic models
• The inverse method for a childhood infectious disease model with its application to pre-vaccination and post-vaccination measles data
• Vaccine hesitancy promotes emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

Cited in

(1)

• A hybrid approach to study and forecast climate-sensitive norovirus infections in the USA

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