The SIR epidemic model from a PDE point of view

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Publication:636419

DOI10.1016/J.MCM.2010.05.036zbMATH Open1219.35322arXiv0912.3225OpenAlexW2087898289MaRDI QIDQ636419FDOQ636419


Authors: Fabio A. C. C. Chalub, Max O. Souza Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 28 August 2011

Published in: Mathematical and Computer Modelling (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We present a derivation of the classical SIR model through a mean-field approximation from a discrete version of SIR. We then obtain a hyperbolic forward Kolmogorov equation, and show that its projected characteristics recover the standard SIR model. Moreover, we show that the long time limit of the evolution will be a Dirac measure. The exact position will depend on the well-know R0 parameter, and it will be supported on the corresponding stable SIR equilibrium.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0912.3225




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