The SIR epidemic model from a PDE point of view
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Epidemiology (92D30) Existence problems for PDEs: global existence, local existence, non-existence (35A01) Uniqueness problems for PDEs: global uniqueness, local uniqueness, non-uniqueness (35A02) Attractors (35B41) PDEs in connection with biology, chemistry and other natural sciences (35Q92) Initial value problems for linear first-order PDEs (35F10)
Abstract: We present a derivation of the classical SIR model through a mean-field approximation from a discrete version of SIR. We then obtain a hyperbolic forward Kolmogorov equation, and show that its projected characteristics recover the standard SIR model. Moreover, we show that the long time limit of the evolution will be a Dirac measure. The exact position will depend on the well-know parameter, and it will be supported on the corresponding stable SIR equilibrium.
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