Global self-weighted and local quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators for ARMA-GARCH/IGARCH models

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Publication:651027

DOI10.1214/11-AOS895zbMATH Open1227.62076arXiv1201.6216MaRDI QIDQ651027FDOQ651027

Ke Zhu, Shiqing Ling

Publication date: 8 December 2011

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper investigates the asymptotic theory of the quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators (QMELE) for ARMA--GARCH models. Under only a fractional moment condition, the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the global self-weighted QMELE are obtained. Based on this self-weighted QMELE, the local QMELE is showed to be asymptotically normal for the ARMA model with GARCH (finite variance) and IGARCH errors. A formal comparison of two estimators is given for some cases. A simulation study is carried out to assess the performance of these estimators, and a real example on the world crude oil price is given.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.6216





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