Hypothesis testing near singularities and boundaries

DOI10.1214/19-EJS1576zbMATH Open1425.62033arXiv1806.08458WikidataQ101457466 ScholiaQ101457466MaRDI QIDQ85619FDOQ85619

Jonathan D. Mitchell, Elizabeth S. Allman, Elizabeth S. Allman, Jonathan D. Mitchell, John A. Rhodes

Publication date: 1 January 2019

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $ch{i}^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $ch{i}^2$, as highlighted by recent work of Drton. Indeed, poor behavior of a $ch{i}^2$ for testing near singularities and boundaries is apparent in simulations, and can lead to conservative or anti-conservative tests. Here we develop a new distribution designed for use in hypothesis testing near singularities and boundaries, which asymptotically agrees with that of the likelihood ratio statistic. For two example trinomial models, arising in the context of inference of evolutionary trees, we show the new distributions outperform a $ch{i}^2$.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.08458

zbMATH Keywords

hypothesis testingboundarychi-squaredcoalescentlikelihood ratio statisticphylogenomicssingularity

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Parametric hypothesis testing (62F03) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Asymptotic properties of parametric tests (62F05) Problems related to evolution (92D15) Approximations to statistical distributions (nonasymptotic) (62E17)

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Cited In (6)

• Identifiability of species network topologies from genomic sequences using the logDet distance
• On the validity of the likelihood ratio and maximum likelihood methods
• The tree of blobs of a species network: identifiability under the coalescent
• MSCquartets
• Hypothesis Testing in Integral Geometry
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Uses Software

• Digital Library of Mathematical Functions

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