Role of word-of-mouth for programs of voluntary vaccination: a game-theoretic approach

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2015.08.023zbMATH Open1351.92046arXiv1503.00183OpenAlexW2964031861WikidataQ41001802 ScholiaQ41001802MaRDI QIDQ900730FDOQ900730

Romulus Breban, Chris T. Bauch, Samit Bhattacharyya

Publication date: 22 December 2015

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. We combine a game-theoretic model for the spread of WoM and a compartmental model describing $SIR$ disease dynamics in the presence of a program of voluntary vaccination. We evaluate and compare two scenarios, depending on what WoM disseminates: (1) vaccine advertising, which may occur whether or not an epidemic is ongoing and (2) epidemic status, notably disease prevalence. Understanding the synergy between the two strategies could be particularly important for organizing voluntary vaccination campaigns. We find that, in the initial phase of an epidemic, vaccination uptake is determined more by vaccine advertising than the epidemic status. As the epidemic progresses, epidemic status become increasingly important for vaccination uptake, considerably accelerating vaccination uptake toward a stable vaccination coverage.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.00183

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zbMATH Keywords

game theoryvaccinationmathematical modelword of mouth

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of game theory (91A80)

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Cited In (9)

• Optimal strategies for vaccination and social distancing in a game-theoretic epidemiologic model
• Cost-efficiency analysis of voluntary vaccination against \(n\)-serovar diseases using antibody-dependent enhancement: a game approach
• A game-theoretical analysis of poliomyelitis vaccination
• Canonical modeling of anticipatory vaccination behavior and long term epidemic recurrence
• Voluntary vaccinations and vaccine shortages: a theoretical analysis
• Game-theoretic model of SARS precautions
• Optimal vaccination strategies and rational behaviour in seasonal epidemics
• A dynamic game of lymphatic filariasis prevention by voluntary use of insecticide treated nets
• Interplay between cost and effectiveness in influenza vaccine uptake: a vaccination game approach

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