Polynomial values modulo primes on average and sharpness of the larger sieve

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Abstract: This paper is motivated by the following question in sieve theory. Given a subset Xsubset[N] and alphain(0,1/2). Suppose that |Xpmodp|leq(alpha+o(1))p for every prime p. How large can X be? On the one hand, we have the bound |X|llalphaNalpha from Gallagher's larger sieve. On the other hand, we prove, assuming the truth of an inverse sieve conjecture, that the bound above can be improved (for example, to |X|llalphaNO(alpha2014) for small alpha). The result follows from studying the average size of |Xpmodp| as p varies, when X=f(mathbbZ)cap[N] is the value set of a polynomial f(x)inmathbbZ[x].









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