Bayesian analysis of ambulatory blood pressure dynamics with application to irregularly spaced sparse data

DOI10.1214/15-AOAS846zbMATH Open1454.62358arXiv1511.05372OpenAlexW2213830168WikidataQ31052831 ScholiaQ31052831MaRDI QIDQ902935FDOQ902935

Authors: Sy-Miin Chow, Andrew Sherwood, Zhao-hua Lu, Hongtu Zhu 

Publication date: 4 January 2016

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Ambulatory cardiovascular (CV) measurements provide valuable insights into individuals' health conditions in "real-life," everyday settings. Current methods of modeling ambulatory CV data do not consider the dynamic characteristics of the full data set and their relationships with covariates such as caffeine use and stress. We propose a stochastic differential equation (SDE) in the form of a dual nonlinear Ornstein--Uhlenbeck (OU) model with person-specific covariates to capture the morning surge and nighttime dipping dynamics of ambulatory CV data. To circumvent the data analytic constraint that empirical measurements are typically collected at irregular and much larger time intervals than those evaluated in simulation studies of SDEs, we adopt a Bayesian approach with a regularized Brownian Bridge sampler (RBBS) and an efficient multiresolution (MR) algorithm to fit the proposed SDE. The MR algorithm can produce more efficient MCMC samples that is crucial for valid parameter estimation and inference. Using this model and algorithm to data from the Duke Behavioral Investigation of Hypertension Study, results indicate that age, caffeine intake, gender and race have effects on distinct dynamic characteristics of the participants' CV trajectories.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1511.05372

Recommendations

• Fitting nonlinear ordinary differential equation models with random effects and unknown initial conditions using the stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm
• Bayesian functional data modeling for heterogeneous volatility
• Dynamic relations for sparsely sampled Gaussian processes
• A stochastic regression model for general trend analysis of longitudinal continuous data
• Chronobiological analysis techniques. Application to blood pressure

zbMATH Keywords

Markov chain Monte Carlolatent processnonlinear processpopulation estimationirregularly spaced longitudinal datamultiresolution algorithm

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Computational methods for problems pertaining to statistics (62-08) Bayesian inference (62F15) Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models (62M05) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10)

Cites Work

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Stochastic Relaxation, Gibbs Distributions, and the Bayesian Restoration of Images
• Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications
• Exact and Computationally Efficient Likelihood-Based Estimation for Discretely Observed Diffusion Processes (with Discussion)
• Markov chain Monte Carlo for exact inference for diffusions
• A Bayesian Analysis for Change Point Problems
• Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo for efficient numerical simulation
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Bayesian inference for nonlinear multivariate diffusion models observed with error
• Closed-form likelihood expansions for multivariate diffusions
• Semiparametric stochastic modeling of the rate function in longitudinal studies
• On inference for partially observed nonlinear diffusion models using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
• Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a model for neuronal activity. I. Mean and variance of the firing time
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• A multiresolution method for parameter estimation of diffusion processes
• Fitting nonlinear ordinary differential equation models with random effects and unknown initial conditions using the stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm
• Bayesian analysis of ambulatory blood pressure dynamics with application to irregularly spaced sparse data
• A regularized bridge sampler for sparsely sampled diffusions
• Bayesian inference for irreducible diffusion processes using the pseudo-marginal approach

Cited In (9)

• Fitting nonlinear ordinary differential equation models with random effects and unknown initial conditions using the stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm
• Bayesian analysis of ambulatory blood pressure dynamics with application to irregularly spaced sparse data
• Estimation of nonlinear mixed‐effects continuous‐time models using the continuous‐discrete extended Kalman filter
• Bayesian forecasting with a regime-switching zero-inflated multilevel Poisson regression model: an application to adolescent alcohol use with spatial covariates
• Zero-inflated regime-switching stochastic differential equation models for highly unbalanced multivariate, multi-subject time-series data
• Chronobiological analysis techniques. Application to blood pressure
• Improved bridge constructs for stochastic differential equations
• Representing sudden shifts in intensive dyadic interaction data using differential equation models with regime switching
• Improved confidence interval estimation for oscillometric blood pressure measurement by combining bootstrap-after-jackknife function with non-Gaussian models

This page was built for publication: Bayesian analysis of ambulatory blood pressure dynamics with application to irregularly spaced sparse data

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q902935)