Rationally misplaced confidence
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Cites work
- A model of rational bias in self-assessments
- Active learning with a misspecified prior
- Apparent overconfidence
- Betting on own knowledge: Experimental test of overconfidence
- Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment
- Conjugate priors for exponential families
- Conjugate Priors for Exponential Families Having Quadratic Variance Functions
- Control, cost, and confidence: perseverance and procrastination in the face of failure
- Equilibrium learning in simple contests
- Exponential and Bayesian conjugate families: Review and extensions. (With discussion)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3602484 (Why is no real title available?)
- Investor overconfidence and the forward premium puzzle
- Learning self-control
- Learning Your Comparative Advantages
- Natural exponential families with quadratic variance functions
- Natural exponential families with quadratic variance functions: Statistical theory
- On the consistency of Bayes estimates
- Rational overconfidence and social security: subjective beliefs, objective welfare
- Self-Confidence and Personal Motivation
- Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: Evidence from experimental asset markets
- The Positive Effects of Biased Self-Perceptions in Firms*
- The U-Shapes of Occupational Mobility
- Unrealistic expectations and misguided learning
- Worker overconfidence: Field evidence and implications for employee turnover and firm profits
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