Unrealistic expectations and misguided learning
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(21)- Asymptotic behavior of Bayesian learners with misspecified models
- Combining forecasts in the presence of ambiguity over correlation structures
- Learning with misattribution of reference dependence
- Biased learning under ambiguous information
- Control, cost, and confidence: perseverance and procrastination in the face of failure
- Learning your own ability
- Confidence biases and learning among intuitive Bayesians
- Mislearning from censored data: The gambler's fallacy and other correlational mistakes in optimal‐stopping problems
- Which misspecifications persist?
- A multi-agent model of misspecified learning with overconfidence
- Pathwise concentration bounds for Bayesian beliefs
- Imposing commitment to rein in overconfidence in learning
- Is attention produced optimally? Theory and evidence from experiments with bandwidth enhancements
- On the complexity of forming mental models
- Tort liability and unawareness
- Overconfidence and prejudice
- Naive calibration
- Misspecified learning and evolutionary stability
- Proxy variables and feedback effects in decision making
- Rationally misplaced confidence
- Organizational structure and pricing: evidence from a large U.S. airline
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