Some predictability in one-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems arising in population models

DOI10.1016/0196-8858(85)90011-9MaRDI QIDQ1077783zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Jun Kigami

Publication date 1985

Published in Advances in Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90011-9

zbMATH Keywords

degree of chaosdiscrete, one dimensional dynamical systemfluctuating systemsiterationpredictabilitysojourning time

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Perturbations of finite-dimensional Hamiltonian systems, normal forms, small divisors, KAM theory, Arnol'd diffusion (37J40) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Review text

Consider the iteration (discrete, one dimensional dynamical system) \(x_{n+1}=f(x_ n)\) where f is a nonnegative unimodal map. The sojourning time n(f,x) is the maximal number of iterations which don't carry the system with initial state x above the value of the unique maximal point of the system. The sojourning time corresponding to this maximal point k (f(k)\(\geq f(x))\) is denoted by N(f). According to the author the degree of chaos is measured by N(f). This is justified by the fact that the topological entropy of f is, loosely speaking, increasing with N(f). Fluctuating systems and predictability of sojourning times of fluctuating systems are studied. In some systems depending on a parameter the degree of chaos may increase while the sojourning time may become more predictable. The results may be applied, e.g., to the system \(x_{n+1}=x_ n\exp (r(1-x_ n/c)).\)

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Cites work

• Erratum to "Entropy for Group Endomorphisms and Homogeneous Spaces"
• On the resolution of chaos in population models
• Period Three Implies Chaos
• Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics
• The dynamics of density dependent population models
• Topological Entropy

Cited in

(1)

• Recurrence as a basis for the assessment of predictability of the irregular population dynamics

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