The correlation structure of epidemic models
For a general Markov SIS epidemic model, the author proves positive correlation between the fates of individuals at different times. For the same model with two diseases, ``positive interference between diseases results in positive correlations between individuals w.r.t. either disease, and ``competition between diseases results in negative correlation between diseases and positive correlation within each disease. These results are generalized to several diseases if they can be grouped into two classes such that there is positive interference within each class and competition between classes. The results use coupling arguments and adequate partial orderings of the state spaces and are based on a theorem connecting monotonicity of Markov processes on finite partially ordered sets and positive correlations due to \textit{T. E. Harris} [Ann. Probab. 5, 451-454 (1977; Zbl 0381.60072)]. The same technique is used to obtain positive correlation between the fates of individuals at different times for a general Markov SIR epidemic model if one does not distinguish between infected and removed states (for otherwise no appropriate partial ordering is available).
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1241726
- On SIR-models with Markov-modulated events: length of an outbreak, total size of the epidemic and number of secondary infections
- An alternate proof of a correlation inequality of Harris
- SIR epidemic models with general infectious period distribution
- Strong Convergence of Stochastic Epidemics
- Simple epidemic model by a Markov chain
- Co-jumps and Markov counting systems in random environments
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- SIR-type epidemic models as block-structured Markov processes
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4139539
- A correlation inequality for Markov processes in partially ordered state spaces
- A threshold limit theorem for a multitype epidemic model
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- Correlation and variability in birth processes
- Correlation inequalities on some partially ordered sets
- Epidemics in competition
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3630540 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3892344 (Why is no real title available?)
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- Limiting point processes for rescalings of coalescing and annihilating random walks on \(Z^ n\).
- Negative association of random variables, with applications
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- Multivariate dependence among cyber risks based on \(L\)-hop propagation
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- Variability for carrier-borne epidemics and Reed-Frost models incorporating uncertainties and dependencies from susceptibles and infectives
- Interparticle correlation in death processes with application to variability in compartmental models
- Co-jumps and Markov counting systems in random environments
- PHASE DIAGRAMS AND CORRELATION INEQUALITIES OF A THREE-STATE STOCHASTIC EPIDEMIC MODEL ON THE SQUARE LATTICE
- The Role of Directionality, Heterogeneity, and Correlations in Epidemic Risk and Spread
- Migration–contagion processes
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