Bayesian population projections for the united nations

DOI10.1214/13-STS419zbMath1332.62428arXiv1405.4708OpenAlexW2088949676WikidataQ34334656 ScholiaQ34334656MaRDI QIDQ254375

Leontine Alkema, Patrick Gerland, Adrian E. Raftery

Publication date: 8 March 2016

Published in: Statistical Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.4708

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian hierarchical modelcohort component projection methoddouble logistic functionLeslie matrixlife expectancytotal fertility rate

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to social sciences (62P25) Point estimation (62F10) Bayesian inference (62F15) Mathematical geography and demography (91D20)

Related Items (6)

Accounting for uncertainty about past values in probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for most countries ⋮ Dynamical analysis of an integrated pest management predator–prey model with weak Allee effect ⋮ Accounting for smoking in forecasting mortality and life expectancy ⋮ On the use of historical estimates ⋮ Estimating causes of maternal death in data-sparse contexts ⋮ Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts

Uses Software

• R
• bayesDem
• bayesPop
• bayesLife
• bayesTFR

Cites Work

• A Bayesian forecasting model: predicting U.S. male mortality
• Bayesian models and methods in public policy and government settings
• Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear mortality projections
• A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables.
• Applied mathematical demography
• Statistical demography and forecasting.
• Bayesian Demography: Projecting the Iraqi Kurdish Population, 1977-1990
• ON THE USE OF MATRICES IN CERTAIN POPULATION MATHEMATICS

This page was built for publication: Bayesian population projections for the united nations