Sequential design of computer experiments for the estimation of a probability of failure
From MaRDI portal
Publication:693305
DOI10.1007/s11222-011-9241-4zbMath1252.62081arXiv1009.5177OpenAlexW2133118715MaRDI QIDQ693305
Ling Li, Victor Picheny, David Ginsbourger, Julien Bect
Publication date: 7 December 2012
Published in: Statistics and Computing (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1009.5177
Non-Markovian processes: estimation (62M09) Bayesian inference (62F15) Monte Carlo methods (65C05) Sequential statistical design (62L05) Reliability and life testing (62N05)
Related Items (60)
A new expected-improvement algorithm for continuous minimax optimization ⋮ \textit{KrigInv}: an efficient and user-friendly implementation of batch-sequential inversion strategies based on kriging ⋮ Noisy kriging-based optimization methods: a unified implementation within the DiceOptim package ⋮ Bounding rare event probabilities in computer experiments ⋮ Bayesian inversion using adaptive polynomial chaos kriging within subset simulation ⋮ Clustered active-subspace based local Gaussian process emulator for high-dimensional and complex computer models ⋮ Recursive estimation of a failure probability for a Lipschitz function ⋮ Gaussian process surrogates for failure detection: a Bayesian experimental design approach ⋮ Warped Gaussian Processes and Derivative-Based Sequential Designs for Functions with Heterogeneous Variations ⋮ Bregman superquantiles. Estimation methods and applications ⋮ The frontier of simulation-based inference ⋮ Sequential Design for Optimal Stopping Problems ⋮ Adaptive virtual support vector machine for reliability analysis of high-dimensional problems ⋮ Probabilistic bisection with spatial metamodels ⋮ Sequential design strategies for mean response surface metamodeling via stochastic kriging with adaptive exploration and exploitation ⋮ Argumentwise invariant kernels for the approximation of invariant functions ⋮ Feasible set estimation under functional uncertainty by Gaussian process modelling ⋮ Solving an inverse problem for time-series-valued computer simulators via multiple contour estimation ⋮ Nested polynomial trends for the improvement of Gaussian process-based predictors ⋮ Uncertainty Quantification and Experimental Design for Large-Scale Linear Inverse Problems under Gaussian Process Priors ⋮ Unnamed Item ⋮ A sampling criterion for constrained Bayesian optimization with uncertainties ⋮ A SUR version of the Bichon criterion for excursion set estimation ⋮ An efficient dimension reduction for the Gaussian process emulation of two nested codes with functional outputs ⋮ Bayesian Quadrature, Energy Minimization, and Space-Filling Design ⋮ Universal Prediction Distribution for Surrogate Models ⋮ Sequential Design of Computer Experiments for the Solution of Bayesian Inverse Problems ⋮ Bayesian Subset Simulation ⋮ High-fidelity hurricane surge forecasting using emulation and sequential experiments ⋮ A blackbox yield estimation workflow with Gaussian process regression applied to the design of electromagnetic devices ⋮ A Bayesian approach to constrained single- and multi-objective optimization ⋮ Learning excursion sets of vector-valued Gaussian random fields for autonomous ocean sampling ⋮ Quantifying Uncertainties on Excursion Sets Under a Gaussian Random Field Prior ⋮ Expected improvement for expensive optimization: a review ⋮ A Bayesian optimization approach to find Nash equilibria ⋮ A new surrogate modeling technique combining Kriging and polynomial chaos expansions - application to uncertainty analysis in computational dosimetry ⋮ Multiobjective optimization using Gaussian process emulators via stepwise uncertainty reduction ⋮ Gaussian Process-Based Dimension Reduction for Goal-Oriented Sequential Design ⋮ An adaptive metamodel-based subset importance sampling approach for the assessment of the functional failure probability of a thermal-hydraulic passive system ⋮ Efficient sequential experimental design for surrogate modeling of nested codes ⋮ Data-driven stochastic inversion via functional quantization ⋮ Sequential tuning of complex computer models ⋮ Density modification-based reliability sensitivity analysis ⋮ Parallel Gaussian process surrogate Bayesian inference with noisy likelihood evaluations ⋮ Sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design for structural reliability analysis ⋮ Evaluating Gaussian process metamodels and sequential designs for noisy level set estimation ⋮ Estimating Orthant Probabilities of High-Dimensional Gaussian Vectors with An Application to Set Estimation ⋮ Adaptive Gaussian process emulators for efficient reliability analysis ⋮ Efficient evaluation of reliability-oriented sensitivity indices ⋮ Conditional quantile sequential estimation for stochastic codes ⋮ A supermartingale approach to Gaussian process based sequential design of experiments ⋮ Unnamed Item ⋮ Sequential Design and Spatial Modeling for Portfolio Tail Risk Measurement ⋮ A Supervised Learning Approach Involving Active Subspaces for an Efficient Genetic Algorithm in High-Dimensional Optimization Problems ⋮ Sequential Design of Computer Experiments for the Computation of Bayesian Model Evidence ⋮ \texttt{CAMERA}: a method for cost-aware, adaptive, multifidelity, efficient reliability analysis ⋮ Asymptotic Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Covariance Parameters for Gaussian Processes: An Introduction with Proofs ⋮ Sequential Design for Ranking Response Surfaces ⋮ Hybrid reliability analysis with both random and probability-box variables ⋮ Rare Event Estimation for Computer Models
Uses Software
Cites Work
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- The transform likelihood ratio method for rare event simulation with heavy tails
- An informational approach to the global optimization of expensive-to-evaluate functions
- Efficient global optimization of expensive black-box functions
- Interpolation of spatial data. Some theory for kriging
- The design and analysis of computer experiments.
- Design and analysis of computer experiments. With comments and a rejoinder by the authors
- Coarse-to-fine face detection
- Default priors for Gaussioan processes
- Bayesian Calibration of Computer Models
- An Approach to Time Series Analysis
- A Knowledge-Gradient Policy for Sequential Information Collection
- Estimating Percentiles of Uncertain Computer Code Outputs
- The Theory of Measures and Integration
- Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis of Complex Models: A Bayesian Approach
- A Correspondence Between Bayesian Estimation on Stochastic Processes and Smoothing by Splines
This page was built for publication: Sequential design of computer experiments for the estimation of a probability of failure