From policy to prediction: forecasting COVID-19 dynamics under imperfect vaccination

DOI10.1007/S11538-022-01047-XzbMath1497.92160arXiv2201.05930OpenAlexW4221149490WikidataQ113900023 ScholiaQ113900023MaRDI QIDQ2163823

Hao Wang, Pouria Ramazi, Xiunan Wang, Kyeongah Nah, Mark A. Lewis

Publication date: 11 August 2022

Published in: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2201.05930

zbMATH Keywords

inverse methodvaccinationnon-pharmaceutical interventionsCOVID-19 modelinggeneralized boosting machine learning model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Medical epidemiology (92C60)

Related Items (5)

Climate-dependent effectiveness of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 mitigation ⋮ Discrete inverse method for extracting disease transmission rates from accessible infection data ⋮ Spatial heterogeneity analysis for the transmission of syphilis disease in China via a data-validated reaction-diffusion model ⋮ A hybrid approach to study and forecast climate-sensitive norovirus infections in the USA ⋮ Analysis of a COVID-19 epidemic model with seasonality

Cites Work

• A hypothesis-free bridging of disease dynamics and non-pharmaceutical policies
• Modeling the impact of mass influenza vaccination and public health interventions on COVID-19 epidemics with limited detection capability
• Extracting the time-dependent transmission rate from infection data via solution of an inverse ODE problem
• The inverse method for a childhood infectious disease model with its application to pre-vaccination and post-vaccination measles data

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