A model of riots dynamics: shocks, diffusion and thresholds

DOI10.3934/NHM.2015.10.443MaRDI QIDQ258503zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Jean-Pierre Nadal, Nancy Rodíguez, Henri Berestycki

Publication date 10 March 2016

Published in Networks and Heterogeneous Media (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.04725

zbMATH Keywords

mathematical modeling of riots dynamicsnon-local diffusionnumerical investigations and simulationstraveling wave solutions

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Qualitative properties of solutions to partial differential equations (35B99) Nonlinear parabolic equations (35K55) Reaction-diffusion equations (35K57) PDEs in connection with game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences (35Q91) Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10)

Abstract: We introduce and analyze several variants of a system of differential equations which model the dynamics of social outbursts, such as riots. The systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable representing the intensity of rioting activity and an underlying (implicit) field of social tension. Our models include the effects of exogenous and endogenous factors as well as various propagation mechanisms. From numerical and mathematical analysis of these models we show that the assumptions made on how different locations influence one another and how the tension in the system disperses play a major role on the qualitative behavior of bursts of social unrest. Furthermore, we analyze here various properties of these systems, such as the existence of traveling wave solutions, and formulate some new open mathematical problems which arise from our work.

Review text

The present paper deals with some mathematical models involving riots dynamics. After reviewing some concrete rioting activities from the past (in particular in France, in the USA and in the UK), the authors aim to construct valid models that describe the dynamics of these events.NEWLINENEWLINEThe studied PDE systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable describing the \textit{intensity of rioting activities} and an underlying (implicit) field of \textit{social tension}. The models try to qualitatively capture the initiation, self-excitation, spreading and relaxation of rioting activities. These models are considered either on networks or in a spatially continuous setting. The authors analyze the existence of \textit{traveling wave} and \textit{spreading} type solutions and they also present the numerical analysis of some of the systems.NEWLINENEWLINEIn addition to the obtained results, several new open mathematical problems are formulated on the systems.

Recommendations

• Modeling the propagation of riots, collective behaviors and epidemics
• A numerical perspective on traveling wave solutions in a system for rioting activity
• Analysis of a heterogeneous model for riot dynamics: the effect of censorship of information
• Periodic cycles of social outbursts of activity
• Existence and stability traveling wave solutions for a system of social outbursts

Cites work

• A STATISTICAL MODEL OF CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR
• Crises and collective socio-economic phenomena: simple models and challenges
• DISCRETE CHOICES UNDER SOCIAL INFLUENCE: GENERIC PROPERTIES
• On the emergence of an ``intention field for socially cohesive agents
• Self-exciting point process modeling of crime
• Self-organised critical hot spots of criminal activity
• Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences
• Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes
• Stability of bumps in piecewise smooth neural fields with nonlinear adaptation
• The Arab Spring: a simple compartmental model for the dynamics of a revolution
• Threshold models of diffusion and collective behavior
• Traveling-wave solutions of parabolic systems with discontinuous nonlinear terms

Cited in

(16)

• Influence of money distribution on civil violence model
• Modeling insurgent dynamics including heterogeneity
• Exact description of SIR-bass epidemics on 1D lattices
• Modeling the propagation of riots, collective behaviors and epidemics
• Global well-posedness and uniform boundedness of urban crime models: one-dimensional case
• Existence and stability traveling wave solutions for a system of social outbursts
• A numerical perspective on traveling wave solutions in a system for rioting activity
• Contagion shocks in one dimension
• Mathematical model analysis on the diffusion of violence
• Qualitative features of a nonlinear, nonlocal, agent-based PDE model with applications to homelessness
• Analysis of a heterogeneous model for riot dynamics: the effect of censorship of information
• Stationary patterns and their selection mechanism of urban crime models with heterogeneous near-repeat victimization effect
• Determining key parameters in riots using lexicographic directional differentiation
• Traveling wave solutions in a model for social outbursts in a tension-inhibitive regime
• Dynamic and structural features of Intifada violence: a Markov process approach
• Modelling the dynamics of social protests: mean-field games and inverse problems

This page was built for publication: A model of riots dynamics: shocks, diffusion and thresholds

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q258503)