Any Inspection is Manipulable

DOI10.1111/1468-0262.00244MaRDI QIDQ4531035zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Ehud Lehrer

Publication date 28 May 2002

Published in Econometrica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00244

zbMATH Keywords

average predictionBlackwell's approachability theoremchecking rulesforecasterforecasting schemegames with payoffs in infinite dimensional spacesinspectormanipulative forecastmixed calibration testsprinciple of approachabilityrealizationssampling rulesspan

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Proceedings, conferences, collections, etc. pertaining to game theory, economics, and finance (91-06) Stochastic models in economics (91B70)

Recommendations

• Mostly calibrated
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Expressible inspections
• Calibration with Many Checking Rules
• Efficient testing of forecasts

Cited in

(25)

• On calibration error of randomized forecasting algorithms
• A nonmanipulable test
• Special issue: Learning in games: a symposium in honor of David Blackwell.
• Calibration and Bayesian learning.
• Belief-based equilibrium
• Transferable deposits as a screening mechanism
• Mostly calibrated
• On comparison of experts
• Approachability, regret and calibration: implications and equivalences
• Non-asymptotic calibration and resolution
• Merging and testing opinions
• A strategy-proof test of portfolio returns
• A geometric proof of calibration
• Non-Bayesian Testing of a Stochastic Prediction
• On Sequences with Non-learnable Subsequences
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Expressible inspections
• Repeated games with incomplete information
• Learning in Games
• Efficient testing of forecasts
• Good Randomized Sequential Probability Forecasting is Always Possible
• Calibration with Many Checking Rules
• Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
• Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing
• On universal algorithms for adaptive forecasting

This page was built for publication: Any Inspection is Manipulable

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q4531035)