Enhanced fuzzy Delphi method in forecasting and decision-making

DOI10.1155/2021/2459573MaRDI QIDQ2092707zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa, Majed Ghazi Alharbi

Publication date 3 November 2022

Published in Advances in Fuzzy Systems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/2459573

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Inference from stochastic processes and fuzziness (62M86) Management decision making, including multiple objectives (90B50)

Review text

Summary: The Delphi method is a process where subjective data are transformed into quasi-objective data using statistical analysis and are converged to stable points. The Delphi method was developed by the RAND Corporation at Santa Monica, California, and is widely used for long-range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using some statistical analyses. This article proposes a variation of the Delphi method using triangular fuzzy numbers, where the communication method with the experts is the same, but the estimation procedure is different. The utility of the method is illustrated by a numerical example.

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Cites work

• Decision-Making in a Fuzzy Environment
• Fuzzy programming and linear programming with several objective functions
• Fuzzy sets
• Fuzzy sets and systems. Theory and applications
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 41551 (Why is no real title available?)

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