Estimators for uncertain dynamic systems

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Generally speaking, a dynamic system with uncertainty means that there are perturbations, deterministic or stochastic, which are not exactly specified, and there are unknown characteristics which have to be estimated. The book is devoted to various optimal estimation problems for such dynamic systems which are assumed to be linear. Even in this case the problems are quite complex and are reduced to different variational problems. The solution to the latter depends on the specific model process, the type of uncertainty and the estimation performance criteria. Hence the optimal estimator might come as the solution to a variational problem. Not an easy task, in general. When stydying dynamic systems under uncertainty, the author follows a very natural idea: to solve the so-called guaranteed estimation problem and do this in an easy way, e.g. by using simplified algorithms. The goal however is that these estimators, not being exactly optimal, have to obey at least some guaranteed ``good properties. The next important question is how to find the level of nonoptimality when using simplified algorithms and at the same time avoid, if possible, the original complicated variational problems. The material is distributed into five chapters. The models in Chapter 1 are deterministic, the problems are parametric and the arguments, when finding the guaranteed estimators, are based on linear programming, least squares method or appropriate functional approximations. Chapter 2 deals with deterministic dynamic systems with uncertainty and their guaranteed estimators. Lagrange's principle, duality and other classical results are among the used tools. Chapters 3 and 4 deal with stochastic systems perturbed by a noise like the white Gaussian noise, so here we see results in the spirit of the Kalman filters and their modifications. Finally, Chapter 5 treats dynamic systems with aftereffects, e.g. systems with delay, and several estimation problems for them. Perhaps these are among the most difficult problems so we have to go to simplified algorithms and look for guaranteed estimators. At the end of each chapter there are short sections, one of which contains useful comments about the progress in the area and the other one contains exercises. The book ends with an extensive references list and index. Thus, a large number of different dynamic models, deterministic and stochastic, are treated in detail. For each of the models the author has exhibited a solution to the guaranteed estimation problem deriving also useful properties of the guaranteed estimators. All cases are well illustrated with examples coming from the real practice. Related topics such as computational aspects are also discussed. Obviously, the reader needs a good knowledge in some areas of mathematics (functional analysis, probability, elements of stochastic processes) in order to understand the main results and ideas and in perspective to apply them when treating other theoretical and practical problems. The book is addressed to applied mathematicians and eventually can be used when teaching a special course to postgraduate students.




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