The density of the extinction probability of a time homogeneous linear birth and death process under the influence of randomly occurring disasters (Q1569922)
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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1471175
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| English | The density of the extinction probability of a time homogeneous linear birth and death process under the influence of randomly occurring disasters |
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1471175 |
Statements
The density of the extinction probability of a time homogeneous linear birth and death process under the influence of randomly occurring disasters (English)
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20 September 2000
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The paper considers a continuous-time birth and death process whereas disasters can occur randomly that diminish the population. The disasters happen according to a renewal process and the number of survivors is binomially distributed with killing rate \(\varepsilon\). The extinction probability \(q\) of the process is a random variable and the aim of the paper is to derive an integral expression for the probability density function of \(q\) for a time-homogeneous linear birth and death process. In an example it is demonstrated how to evaluate the integral numerically.
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birth and death process
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extinction probability
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random disasters
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embedded Galton-Watson process
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0.8370963931083679
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0.8280450701713562
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0.7706176042556763
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0.7705934643745422
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