Probability Theory
The book concerns basic concepts of probability theory and statistics. Theory is built through principles of logic. The book contains a large number of various applications and comments, including discussions on paradoxes of probability theory. From the author's summary: This book goes beyond the conventional mathematics of probability theory, viewing the subject in a wider context. New results are discussed, along with applications of probability theory to a wide variety of problems in physiscs, mathematics, economics, chemistry and biology. It contains many exercices and problems, and is suitable for use a as a textbook on graduate level courses involving data analysis. The material is aimed at readers who are already familiar with applied mathematics at an advanced undergraduate level or higher. Chapter headings: Part I: Principles and elementary applications. (1) Plausible reasoning; (2) The quantitative rules; (3) Elementary sampling theory; (4) Elementary hypothesis testing; (5) Queer uses of probability theory; (6) Elementary parameter estimation; (7) The central, Gaussian or normal distribution; (8) Sufficiency, ancillarity, and all that; (9) Repetitive experiments: probability and frequency; (10) Physics of random experiments. Part II: Advanced applications. (11) discrete prior probabilities: entropy principle; (12) Ingnorance priors and transformation groups; (13) Decision theory, historical background; (14) Simple applications of decision theory; (15) Paradoxes of probability theory; (16) Orthodox methods: historical background; (17) Principles and pathology of orthodox statistics; (18) The \(A_p\) distribution and rule of succession; (19) Phycical measurements; (20) Model comparisons; (21) Outliers and robustness; (22) Introduction to communication theory. Appendix A: Other approaches; Appendix B: Mathematical formalities and style; Appendix C: Convolutions and cumulants. The book could be of interest to scientists working in areas where inference of incomplete information should be made.
- Revisiting prior distributions. I: Priors based on a physical invariance principle
- Revisiting prior distributions. II: Implications of the physical prior in maximum entropy analysis
- Information-geometric indicators of chaos in Gaussian Models on statistical manifolds of negative Ricci Curvature
- Bayesian copula selection
- On Bayesian principal component analysis
- On the proximity of the logical and `Objective Bayesian' interpretations of probability
- Quantum model of classical mechanics: Maximum entropy packets
- Constructing a logic of plausible inference: A guide to Cox's theorem.
- How to build an infinite lottery machine
- Fine-tuning in the context of Bayesian theory testing
- General method to solve the heat equation
- On q-non-extensive statistics with non-Tsallisian entropy
- The likely determines the unlikely
- Steady-state distributions of probability fluxes on complex networks
- Inferring plant ecosystem organization from species occurrences
- Prior distributions for objective Bayesian analysis
- Statistical irreversible thermodynamics in the framework of Zubarev's nonequilibrium statistical operator method
- Nonequilibrium statistical operator method and generalized kinetic equations
- Quantification of cohesive fracture parameters based on the coupling of Bayesian updating and the boundary element method
- Sample dependence in the maximum entropy solution to the generalized moment problem
- Open problems in universal induction \& intelligence
- Logical inference for model-based reconstruction of ultrasonic nonlinearity
- Adaptive importance sampling for optimization under uncertainty problems
- Model-reduction techniques for Bayesian finite element model updating using dynamic response data
- The principle of social scaling
- Risk analysis and decision theory: a bridge
- Logical inference approach to relativistic quantum mechanics: derivation of the Klein-Gordon equation
- Conditional fiducial models
- Vine copula approximation: a generic method for coping with conditional dependence
- Invariant equivocation
- The Jeffreys-Lindley paradox and discovery criteria in high energy physics
- Conditioning using conditional expectations: the Borel-Kolmogorov paradox
- On individual risk
- The qualitative paradox of non-conglomerability
- Testing creation cold dark matter cosmology with the radiation temperature-redshift relation
- A Bayesian approach to selecting hyperelastic constitutive models of soft tissue
- Separation of conditions as a prerequisite for quantum theory
- Relational quantum mechanics and probability
- A Bayesian analysis of retention functions
- Quantum fluctuations from a local-causal information dynamics
- An entropic framework for modeling economies
- Maximum entropy model for business cycle synchronization
- Of bits and wows: a Bayesian theory of surprise with applications to attention
- A modified combination rule for D numbers theory
- Thermodynamics of natural selection. I: Energy flow and the limits on organization
- Thermodynamics of natural selection. III: Landauer's principle in computation and chemistry
- Logical inference derivation of the quantum theoretical description of Stern-Gerlach and Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen-Bohm experiments
- Goals and the informativeness of prior probabilities
- Entropy, divergence and distance measures with econometric applications
- Transitional regimes as early warning signals in resource dependent competition models
- Unhedgeable shocks and statistical economic equilibrium
- Controlling the degree of caution in statistical inference with the Bayesian and frequentist approaches as opposite extremes
- Inverse dispersion for an unknown number of sources: model selection and uncertainty analysis
- Least squares for practitioners
- Why gamma distribution of seismic inter-event times: a theoretical explanation
- Applying limiting entropy to quantify the alignment of collagen fibers by polarized light imaging
- Randomized machine learning of nonlinear models with application to forecasting the development of an epidemic process
- A practical non-parametric copula algorithm for system reliability with correlations
- Voronoi tessellation based statistical volume element characterization for use in fracture modeling
- The single-period (newsvendor) problem under interval grade uncertainties
- Likely cavitation in stochastic elasticity
- Propensity, probability, and quantum theory
- A robust solution of a statistical inverse problem in multiscale computational mechanics using an artificial neural network
- Sequential sparse Bayesian learning with applications to system identification for damage assessment and recursive reconstruction of image sequences
- The entropy-limit (conjecture) for \(\Sigma_2\)-premisses
- Asymptotic behavior of a sequence of conditional probability distributions and the canonical ensemble
- Quantifying controllability in temporal networks with uncertainty
- A model-free approach to multivariate option pricing
- Heterogeneity in susceptibility dictates the order of epidemic models
- Regression to the mean and Judy Benjamin
- Theory of optimal Bayesian feature filtering
- An information inequality for Bayesian analysis in imaging problems
- A characterization for the validity of the Hermite-Hadamard inequality on a simplex
- Representing preorders with injective monotones
- Commonsense explanations of sparsity, Zipf law, and Nash's bargaining solution
- Information and complexity, or: where is the information?
- Stochastic modeling of inhomogeneities in the aortic wall and uncertainty quantification using a Bayesian encoder-decoder surrogate
- Estimating a probability distribution corresponding to the negation of a property
- How effective are we: towards a more convincing stochastic frontier analysis
- Quantifying the uncertainty and global sensitivity of quantum computations on experimental hardware
- Sometimes size does not matter
- Systematic Bayesian posterior analysis guided by Kullback-Leibler divergence facilitates hypothesis formation
- On boundary conditions parametrized by analytic functions
- A differentially private hybrid approach to traffic monitoring
- Bayesian model inversion using stochastic spectral embedding
- A triple uniqueness of the maximum entropy approach
- A predictive multiphase model of silica aerogels for building envelope insulations
- In search of time lost: asymmetry of time and irreversibility in natural processes
- Induction: a logical analysis
- Streaming generalized cross entropy
- Fluctuation theorems in \(q\)-canonical ensembles
- Randomization and entropy in machine learning and data processing
- Probabilistic response and performance predict of nonlinear vibration energy harvesting systems based on partial information
- Two-dimensional distribution of streamwise velocity in open channel flow using maximum entropy principle: incorporation of additional constraints based on conservation laws
- A Bayesian model calibration framework to evaluate brain tissue characterization experiments
- Combinatorial micro-macro dynamical systems
- A new paradigm for uncertain knowledge representation by plausible Petri nets
- Combined state and parameter estimation in level-set methods
- Turbulence theories and statistical closure approaches
- Implications of quantal response statistical equilibrium
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