A Bayesian view of assessing uncertainty and comparing expert opinion

DOI10.1016/0378-3758(88)90094-8zbMath0666.62003OpenAlexW2046359282MaRDI QIDQ1116567

Morris H. DeGroot

Publication date: 1988

Published in: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-3758(88)90094-8

zbMATH Keywords

artificial intelligencepredictionsrefinementexpert systemspartial orderingforecastertotal orderingcombination of opinionscomparing expertsstrictly proper scoring ruleswell-calibrated experts

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Theory of statistical experiments (62B15) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Foundations of probability theory (60A99)

Related Items

Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion), Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions, Expert deference as a belief revision schema, The maximal difference among expert's opinions, Filtering and tracking survival propensity (reconsidering the foundations of reliability), Can Coherent Predictions be Contradictory?

Cites Work

• The role of fuzzy logic in the management of uncertainty in expert systems
• Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility
• Probability judgment in artificial intelligence and expert systems. With discussion
• The probability approach to the treatment of uncertainty in artificial intelligence and expert systems
• Decision Analysis Expert Use
• Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach
• Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping
• A General Definition of the Lorenz Curve
• Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations
• Equivalent Comparisons of Experiments
• Inequalities: theory of majorization and its applications
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