Reducing storage of global wind ensembles with stochastic generators
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Abstract: Wind has the potential to make a significant contribution to future energy resources. Locating the sources of this renewable energy on a global scale is however extremely challenging, given the difficulty to store very large data sets generated by modern computer models. We propose a statistical model that aims at reproducing the data-generating mechanism of an ensemble of runs via a Stochastic Generator (SG) of global annual wind data. We introduce an evolutionary spectrum approach with spatially varying parameters based on large-scale geographical descriptors such as altitude to better account for different regimes across the Earth's orography. We consider a multi-step conditional likelihood approach to estimate the parameters that explicitly accounts for nonstationary features while also balancing memory storage and distributed computation. We apply the proposed model to more than 18 million points of yearly global wind speed. The proposed SG requires orders of magnitude less storage for generating surrogate ensemble members from wind than does creating additional wind fields from the climate model, even if an effective lossy data compression algorithm is applied to the simulation output.
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Cited in
(21)- Principles for statistical inference on big spatio-temporal data from climate models
- Reducing storage of global wind ensembles with stochastic generators
- Spherical process models for global spatial statistics
- Stochastic downscaling method: application to wind refinement
- Exploiting low-rank covariance structures for computing high-dimensional normal and Student-\(t\) probabilities
- Assessing the reliability of wind power operations under a changing climate with a non-Gaussian bias correction
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- A multivariate global spatiotemporal stochastic generator for climate ensembles
- Comment
- Improving Bayesian Local Spatial Models in Large Datasets
- A stochastic generator of global monthly wind energy with Tukey \(g\)-and-\(h\) autoregressive processes
- A non-Gaussian spatio-temporal model for daily wind speeds based on a multi-variate skew-T distribution
- Saving storage in climate ensembles: a model-based stochastic approach
- A stochastic locally diffusive model with neural network-based deformations for global sea surface temperature
- 30 years of space-time covariance functions
- Axially symmetric models for global data: a journey between geostatistics and stochastic generators
- A high-resolution bilevel skew-t stochastic generator for assessing Saudi Arabia's wind energy resources
- Discussion on: ``A high-resolution bilevel skew-\(t\) stochastic generator for assessing Saudi Arabia's wind energy resources
- Rejoinder to the discussion on: ``A high-resolution bilevel skew-\(t\) stochastic generator for assessing Saudi Arabia's wind energy resources
- Estimating atmospheric motion winds from satellite image data using space-time drift models
- Efficient Stochastic Generators with Spherical Harmonic Transformation for High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations from CESM2-LENS2
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