Modeling COVID-19 in Cape Verde Islands -- an application of SIR model

DOI10.1515/CMB-2020-0114MaRDI QIDQ2236677zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Adilson J. da Silva

Publication date 26 October 2021

Published in Computational and Mathematical Biophysics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.00573

zbMATH Keywords

BoavistaCape VerdeCOVID-19SantiagoSIR model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonlinear ordinary differential equations and systems (34A34) Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: The rapid and surprised emergence of COVID-19, having infected three million and killed two hundred thousand people worldwide in less than five months, has led many experts to focus on simulating its propagation dynamics in order to have an estimated outlook for the not too distante future and so supporting the local and national governments in making decisions. In this paper, we apply the SIR model to simulating the propagation dynamics of COVID-19 on the Cape Verde Islands. It will be done firstly for Santiago and Boavista Islands, ant then for Cape Verde in general. The choice of Santiago rests on the fact that it is the largest island, with more than 50% of the Population of the country, whereas Boavista was chosen because it is the island where the first case of COVID-19 in Cape Verde was diagnosed. Observations made after the date of the simulations were carried out corroborates our projections.

Recommendations

• COVID-19 propagation mathematical modeling: the case of Senegal
• Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19
• Modelling COVID-19. I: A dynamic SIR(D) model with application to Indian data
• Exploring susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model for COVID-19 investigation
• Modelling COVID-19 dynamics in the sixteen West African countries
• Dynamical analysis of the infection status in diverse communities due to COVID-19 using a modified SIR model
• Estimating and simulating a SIRD model of COVID-19 for many countries, states, and cities

Cites work

• A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
• A qualitative analysis of a model for the transmission of varicella-zoster virus
• Differential evolution -- a simple and efficient heuristic for global optimization over continuous spaces
• Global stability for the SEIR model in epidemiology
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 824727 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 866525 (Why is no real title available?)
• Modeling and analyzing HIV transmission: The effect of contact patterns
• On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio \(R_ 0\) in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
• Reproduction Numbers and the Stability of Equilibria of SI Models for Heterogeneous Populations
• The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda
• The mathematics of infectious diseases

Cited in

(2)

• Analysis and dynamics of a mathematical model to predict unreported cases of COVID-19 epidemic in Morocco
• Modelling COVID-19. I: A dynamic SIR(D) model with application to Indian data

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• SciPy
• diffEq
• EpiModel
• deSolve

This page was built for publication: Modeling COVID-19 in Cape Verde Islands -- an application of SIR model

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2236677)