Subsampling MCMC -- an introduction for the survey statistician

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Publication:2316968



Abstract: The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms tend to be computationally demanding, and are particularly slow for large datasets. Data subsampling has recently been suggested as a way to make MCMC methods scalable on massively large data, utilizing efficient sampling schemes and estimators from the survey sampling literature. These developments tend to be unknown by many survey statisticians who traditionally work with non-Bayesian methods, and rarely use MCMC. Our article explains the idea of data subsampling in MCMC by reviewing one strand of work, Subsampling MCMC, a so called pseudo-marginal MCMC approach to speeding up MCMC through data subsampling. The review is written for a survey statistician without previous knowledge of MCMC methods since our aim is to motivate survey sampling experts to contribute to the growing Subsampling MCMC literature.


The paper presents the pseudo-marginal approach to subsampling in Markov chain Monte Carlo from the perspective of a survey statistician. Several effective control variates for variance reduction of the likelihood estimator which make subsampling MCMC scalable to large datasets have been reviewed. Methods for correlating the subsamples over the MCMC iterations, ultimately leading to algorithms that allow much more variable likelihood estimators, have also been presented. Much of the focus was given to unbiased estimators of the log-likelihood and methods for bias-correction of the resulting likelihood estimators.



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