Bayesian nonparametric weighted sampling inference

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Publication:273622

DOI10.1214/14-BA924zbMATH Open1334.62024arXiv1309.1799MaRDI QIDQ273622FDOQ273622


Authors: Yajuan Si, Natesh S. Pillai, Andrew Gelman Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 22 April 2016

Published in: Bayesian Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical approach in which we model the distribution of the weights of the nonsampled units in the population and simultaneously include them as predictors in a nonparametric Gaussian process regression. We use simulation studies to evaluate the performance of our procedure and compare it to the classical design-based estimator. We apply our method to the Fragile Family and Child Wellbeing Study. Our studies find the Bayesian nonparametric finite population estimator to be more robust than the classical design-based estimator without loss in efficiency, which works because we induce regularization for small cells and thus this is a way of automatically smoothing the highly variable weights.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.1799




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