A robust optimization approach to experimental design for model discrimination of dynamical systems

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Publication:378083

DOI10.1007/S10107-012-0532-0zbMATH Open1280.62092arXiv1101.3663OpenAlexW2045534984MaRDI QIDQ378083FDOQ378083


Authors: Dominik Skanda, Dirk Lebiedz Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 11 November 2013

Published in: Mathematical Programming. Series A. Series B (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A high-ranking goal of interdisciplinary modeling approaches in the natural sciences are quantitative prediction of system dynamics and model based optimization. For this purpose, mathematical modeling, numerical simulation and scientific computing techniques are indispensable. Quantitative modeling closely combined with experimental investigations is required if the model is supposed to be used for sound mechanistic analysis and model predictions. Typically, before an appropriate model of a experimental system is found different hypothetical models might be reasonable and consistent with previous knowledge and available data. The parameters of the model up to an estimated confidence region are generally not known a priori. Therefore one has to incorporate possible parameter configurations of different models into a model discrimination algorithm. In this article we present a numerical algorithm which calculates a design of experiments which allows an optimal discrimination of different hypothetic candidate models of a given dynamic system for the most inappropriate parameter configurations within a parameter range via a worst case estimate. The design criterion comprises optimal measurement time points. The used criterion is derived from the Kullback-Leibler divergence. The underlying optimization problem can be classified as a semi infinite optimization problem which we solve in an outer approximation approach stabilized by a homotopy strategy. We present the theoretical framework as well as the numerical algorithmic realization.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1101.3663




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