Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources

Cited In (54)

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Aggregating predictions from experts: a review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications
Information sharing in the presence of retailer's risk aversion and altruism
Regression with strongly correlated data
Targeted disclosure and monetary policy flexibility: a simple model
Demand forecasting and pricing decision with the entry of store brand under various information sharing scenarios
Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
Median aggregation of distribution functions
Why are experts correlated? Decomposing correlations between judges
Risk analysis of catastrophes using experts' judgements: An empirical study on risk analysis of major civil aircraft accidents in Europe
Aggregating expert judgement
Nested kriging predictions for datasets with a large number of observations
Bilateral information sharing in a supply chain with manufacturer competition
Combining ranked mean value forecasts
Estimating uncertainties using judgmental forecasts with expert heterogeneity
Pooling operators with the marginalization property
Combining inflation density forecasts
On Combining Expert Opinions
Fiducial inference in combining expert judgements
The search for information -- a patient perspective on multiple opinions
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering
Random quantiles of the Dirichlet process
Efficiency of the independence assumption in the combination of forecasts
Demand forecast sharing in a dual-channel supply chain
Bayesian forecast combination and Kalman filtering
Regularized Aggregation of One-Off Probability Predictions
Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches to statistical inference and decision-making
Further evidence against independence preservation in expert judgement synthesis
How collaborative forecasting can reduce forecast accuracy
Inferring probability densities from expert opinion
Revision of possibility distributions: A Bayesian inference pattern
Information acquisition in new product introduction
Bilateral information sharing in two supply chains with complementary products
Multistage classifiers optimized by neural networks and genetic algorithms
Endogenous information acquisition in supply chain management
A Bayesian paired comparison approach for relative accident probability assessment with covariate information
Combining expert probabilities using the product of odds
SUPRA-BAYESIAN POOLING OF PRIORS LINKED BY A DETERMINISTIC SIMULATION MODEL
Quantile judgments of lognormal losses: an experimental investigation
One person/one vote is not efficient given information on factions
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities
Updating beliefs about variables given new information on how those variables relate
Research on demand forecasting information sharing strategy of closed-loop supply chain considering advertising effect
A framework for multi-model ensembling
Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts
Economic Darwinism: Who has the best probabilities?
Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods for combining models and forecasts with applications to forecasting international growth rates
Outsourcing management under various demand information sharing scenarios
A method for the updating of stochastic Kriging metamodels
Gaussian processes for computer experiments
Bayesian analysis with limited communication
Convex combinations in judgment aggregation
Carbon emission reduction and pricing strategies of supply chain under various demand forecasting scenarios
Survey of multifidelity methods in uncertainty propagation, inference, and optimization

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